Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 3

Date: 15 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Gander Green Lane (London)

Referee: Tallis S. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.9
	2.55	3.1	2.8
	2.5	3.1	2.85
	2.61	3.13	3.02
	2.45	2.88	2.7
	2.55	3.14	2.88	Watch
	2.47	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.89)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)	2.85 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
37%

Draw
30.2%

Gillingham
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

29.3%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

30.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sutton United's form might have worsened.

Gillingham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gillingham's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gillingham, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	27.8%	44.4%

Sutton United - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Gillingham will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rose J. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 5. Goodliffe B. 4. Sowunmi O. 24. Milsom R. 15. Eastmond C. 10. Beautyman H. 16. Clay C. 11. Patrick O. 33. Angol L. 20. Kashket S.	25. Turner J. (G) 2. Alexander C. 5. Ehmer M. (C) 22. Ogie S. 13. Malone S. 9. Nichols T. 38. Dieng T. 7. Lapslie G. 18. Coleman E. 11. Jefferies D. 10. Nadesan A.
Substitutes
17. Bughail-Mellor D. 7. Coley J. 19. Fadahunsi T. 13. House B. (G) 6. John L. 29. Kasimu H. 8. N'Guessan C.	45. Bonne M. 17. Clarke J. 3. Clark M. 23. Masterson C. 14. McKenzie R. 1. Morris G. (G) 8. Williams J.
Coaches
Gray M.	Harris N.

Preview

Recent matches Sutton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gillingham is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
12.08.23	Barrow - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Sutton United - Cambridge United	3:2 penalties ✺
English League Two
05.08.23	Sutton United - Notts County	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Sutton United - Aldershot Town	0:1 ✺
25.07.23	Woking - Sutton United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWWLL
- Gillingham FC
English League Two
12.08.23	Gillingham - Accrington Stanley	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.23	Gillingham - Southampton	3:1 ✺
English League Two
05.08.23	Stockport County - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Dagenham & Redbridge - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Dartford - Gillingham	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
29.12.22	Sutton United - Gillingham	2:1
01.10.22	Gillingham - Sutton United	1:0

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