Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Gander Green Lane (London)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Milton Keynes Dons

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.38
	2.85	3.5	2.35	Watch
	2.99	3.46	2.44
	2.62	3.2	2.3
	2.84	3.5	2.36	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.64)	3.4 ↓ (3.52)	2.36 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
32.8%

Draw
27.5%

Milton Keynes Dons
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

26.9%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Sutton United - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. MK Dons will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for MK Dons: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bouzanis D. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 4. Sowunmi O. 6. John L. 42. Hart S. 7. Coley J. 16. Clay C. 8. N'Guessan C. 11. Patrick O. 9. Smith H. 40. O'Brien A.	1. MacGillivray C. (G) 2. Norman C. 3. Lewington D. 5. O'Hora W. 26. Stewart A. 11. Payne J. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 6. Williams M. 14. Tomlinson J. 9. Harrison E. 10. Eisa M.
Substitutes
10. Beautyman H. 15. Eastmond C. 5. Goodliffe B. 23. Jackson R. 29. Kasimu H. 18. Pereira D. 1. Rose J. (G)	18. Dean M. 16. Grant C. 21. Harvie D. 32. Kelly M. (G) 7. Leko J. 17. Robson E. 4. Tucker J.
Coaches
Gray M.	Alexander G.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 9).

Sutton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches MK Dons is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sutton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Sutton United - Aston Villa U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
16.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
09.09.23	Swindon Town - Sutton United	5:3 ✺
02.09.23	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLLLW
- Milton Keynes Dons
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Oxford United - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1 ✺
English League Two
16.09.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Stockport County	1:2 ✺
09.09.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Notts County	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Crewe Alexandra - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
29.08.23	Milton Keynes Dons - Chelsea U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup
09.08.22	Milton Keynes Dons - Sutton United	1:0

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