Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 7

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: County Ground (Swindon)

Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)


	Swindon Town		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.75	4.5
	1.77	3.8	4.3
	1.77	3.87	4.72
	1.7	3.5	4
	1.73	3.92	4.45	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.84)	3.77 ↓ (3.78)	4.36 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
53.7%

Draw
24.9%

Sutton United
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

25.3%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

25%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Swindon Town - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mahoney M. (G) 22. Godwin-Malife U. 12. Brewitt T. 5. Blake-Tracey F. 2. Hutton R. 6. McEachran G. 16. Cain J. (C) 19. Uwakwe T. 10. Kemp D. 7. Young J. 32. Austin C.	1. Rose J. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 24. Milsom R. 95. Coley J. 6. John L. 96. N'Guessan C. 5. Goodliffe B. 97. Clay C. 99. Smith H. 98. Patrick O. 100. O'Brien A.
Substitutes
14. Genesini B. 11. Hepburn-Murphy R. 42. Keyes J. 31. Minturn H. 28. Shade T. 3. Ward B. 44. Ward L. (G)	33. Angol L. 10. Beautyman H. 21. Bouzanis D. (G) 102. Jackson R. 101. Kashket S. 18. Pereira D. 103. Sowunmi O.
Coaches
Flynn M.	Gray M.

Preview

Recent matches Swindon is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sutton is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sutton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Swindon is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Swindon won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English League Two
02.09.23	Doncaster Rovers - Swindon Town	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Swindon Town - Crawley Town	6:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
22.08.23	Swindon Town - Arsenal U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
19.08.23	Wrexham - Swindon Town	5:5 ✺
15.08.23	Forest Green Rovers - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWLTW
- Sutton United
English League Two
02.09.23	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
29.08.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Sutton United	0:1 ✺
English League Two
26.08.23	Newport County - Sutton United	3:1 ✺
19.08.23	Sutton United - AFC Wimbledon	0:3 ✺
15.08.23	Sutton United - Gillingham	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
14.02.23	Sutton United - Swindon Town	2:1
13.09.22	Swindon Town - Sutton United	3:2
15.03.22	Swindon Town - Sutton United	2:1
19.10.21	Sutton United - Swindon Town	1:2

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