Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 11

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Gander Green Lane (London)

Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)


	Sutton United		Salford City

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.7	2.9
	2.25	3.5	2.9
	2.35	3.5	2.85	Watch
	2.42	3.6	2.93
	2.3	3.5	2.9
	2.33	3.54	2.85	Watch
	2.24	3.55	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.44)	3.56 ↑ (3.45)	2.88 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
40.8%

Draw
26.5%

Salford City
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

26.4%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	6.7%	33.3%

Sutton United - Salford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Salford will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sutton: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bouzanis D. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 3. Hart S. 16. Clay C. 4. Sowunmi O. 8. N'Guessan C. 5. Goodliffe B. 15. Eastmond C. (C) 29. Kasimu H. 11. Patrick O. 10. Beautyman H.	1. Cairns A. (C) 2. Ingram E. 3. John D. 14. Mallan S. 5. Mariappa A. 24. Bolton L. 8. Lund M. 6. Watt E. 16. Tilt C. 30. N'Mai K. 17. Smith M.
Substitutes
33. Angol L. 7. Coley J. 23. Jackson R. 40. O'Brien A. 1. Rose J. (G) 9. Smith H.	23. Berkoe K. 36. Dackers M. 45. Humbles L. 50. Olopade T. 37. Pedro D. 7. Watson R. 13. Wright J. (G)
Coaches
Gray M.	Wood N.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 20).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sutton won 0.

Sutton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Salford is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sutton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Salford have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sutton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English League Two
30.09.23	Crawley Town - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.09.23	Port Vale - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
English League Two
23.09.23	Sutton United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Sutton United - Aston Villa U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
16.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL
- Salford City
English League Two
30.09.23	Salford City - Newport County	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
26.09.23	Salford City - Burnley	0:4 ✺
English League Two
23.09.23	Harrogate Town - Salford City	3:2 ✺
15.09.23	Salford City - Notts County	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Salford City - Walsall	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
14.01.23	Salford City - Sutton United	2:0
24.09.22	Sutton United - Salford City	1:2
08.02.22	Sutton United - Salford City	0:0
14.08.21	Salford City - Sutton United	0:0
English National League
05.03.19	Salford City - Sutton United	2:0
11.08.18	Sutton United - Salford City	2:1

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