Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Peninsula Stadium (Salford)

Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)


	Salford City		Burnley

	1	X	2
	9	5.5	1.33
	9.5	5.5	1.33	Watch
	9.37	5.36	1.34
	6.5	4.33	1.35
	8.7	5.35	1.33	Watch
	8.2	5.4	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.55 ↑ (6.06)	5.24 ↑ (4.27)	1.34 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Salford City
11.1%

Draw
18.1%

Burnley
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

21.8%

62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

17.3%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burnley's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Salford City - Burnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Burnley will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cairns A. (C) 50. Olopade T. 5. Mariappa A. 16. Tilt C. 23. Berkoe K. 7. Watson R. 6. Watt E. 8. Lund M. 14. Mallan S. 36. Dackers M. 18. McAleny C.	49. Muric A. (G) 22. Vitinho 2. O'Shea D. 4. Cork J. (C) 44. Delcroix H. 19. Zaroury A. 16. Berge S. 10. Manuel Hedilazio B. 34. Bruun Larsen J. 47. Odobert W. 9. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
46. Collins B. 51. Da Costa S. 52. Fankwe W. J. M. 48. Henderson A. 47. Humbles L. 30. N'Mai K. 45. Pedro D. 17. Smith M. 13. Wright J. (G)	28. Al Dakhil A. 24. Cullen J. 30. Koleosho L. 42. Massengo H. 21. Ramsey A. 14. Roberts C. 3. Taylor C. 1. Trafford J. (G) 31. Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
Coaches
Wood N.	Kompany V.

Preview

Salford has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Burnley is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Burnley is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Burnley: Churlinov D. (Injury) Ekdal H. (Knee Injury) Foster L. (Red Card) Gudmundsson J. B. (Muscle Injury) Obafemi M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Burnley: Vitinho (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salford City
English League Two
23.09.23	Harrogate Town - Salford City	3:2 ✺
15.09.23	Salford City - Notts County	0:2 ✺
09.09.23	Salford City - Walsall	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Bolton Wanderers - Salford City	3:0 ✺
English League Two
02.09.23	Morecambe - Salford City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Burnley FC
English Premier League
23.09.23	Burnley - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
18.09.23	Nottingham Forest - Burnley	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Burnley - Tottenham Hotspur	2:5 ✺
English League Cup
30.08.23	Nottingham Forest - Burnley	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
27.08.23	Burnley - Aston Villa	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTLWL

Upcoming Matches