Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Vale Park (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)


	Port Vale		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.8	4.75
	1.8	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.76	4.02	4.56
	1.62	3.6	4.33
	1.76	3.88	4.4	Watch
	1.7	3.95	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.7)	3.83 ↓ (3.84)	4.54 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
54.6%

Draw
24.6%

Sutton United
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

24.3%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

23.6%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Sutton United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Port Vale - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ripley C. (G) 2. Cass L. 5. Balmer K. 3. Jones D. 4. Sang T. 16. Lowe J. (C) 24. Walters R. 15. Grant C. 19. Massey G. 44. Thomas J. 11. Devine A.	1. Rose J. (G) 23. Jackson R. 4. Sowunmi O. 5. Goodliffe B. 22. Kizzi J. 18. Pereira D. 10. Beautyman H. 15. Eastmond C. (C) 8. N'Guessan C. 11. Patrick O. 33. Angol L.
Substitutes
10. Chislett E. 7. Clark M. 27. Debrah J. 8. Garrity B. 13. Leutwiler J. (G) 14. Ojo F. 21. Plant J. 6. Smith N. 29. Wilson J.	21. Bouzanis D. (G) 7. Coley J. 14. Dundas C. 19. Fadahunsi T. 42. Hart S. 29. Kasimu H. 40. O'Brien A.
Coaches
Crosby A.	Gray M.

Preview

Port Vale is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sutton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Port Vale is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League One
23.09.23	Cambridge United - Port Vale	1:1 ✺
19.09.23	Port Vale - Burton Albion	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Port Vale - Northampton Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Port Vale - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
English League One
02.09.23	Oxford United - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TLWWW
- Sutton United
English League Two
23.09.23	Sutton United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Sutton United - Aston Villa U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
16.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
09.09.23	Swindon Town - Sutton United	5:3 ✺
02.09.23	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
26.03.22	Port Vale - Sutton United	2:0
09.10.21	Sutton United - Port Vale	4:3

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