Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 10

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday

Location: The People’s Pension Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)


	Crawley Town		Sutton United

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.8	3.8
	1.93	3.6	3.5
	1.95	3.75	3.6
	1.96	3.79	3.84
	1.91	3.7	3.6
	1.89	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.88	3.7	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.03)	3.73 ↑ (3.64)	3.67 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
49.1%

Draw
25.3%

Sutton United
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

26%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

26.1%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Sutton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Crawley Town - Sutton United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Sutton will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crawley: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Addai C. (G) 30. Wright W. 3. Conroy D. 6. Maguire L. 7. Gladwin B. (C) 26. Williams J. 4. Kelly L. 25. Tsaroulla N. 10. Darcy R. 28. Campbell A. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D.	21. Bouzanis D. (G) 22. Kizzi J. 5. Goodliffe B. 4. Sowunmi O. 42. Hart S. 18. Pereira D. 8. N'Guessan C. 15. Eastmond C. (C) 11. Patrick O. 33. Angol L. 40. O'Brien A.
Substitutes
13. Ashby-Hammond L. (G) 14. Forster H. 12. Henry A. 23. Johnson T. 27. Khaleel R. 8. Lolos K. 11. Roles J.	10. Beautyman H. 17. Bughail-Mellor D. 16. Clay C. 7. Coley J. 23. Jackson R. 29. Kasimu H. 1. Rose J. (G)
Coaches
Lindsey S.	Gray M.

Preview

Crawley in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sutton has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Crawley could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Crawley will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Crawley to win the game is with odds 1.93.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Crawley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League Two
23.09.23	Grimsby Town - Crawley Town	2:3 ✺
16.09.23	Crawley Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:2 ✺
09.09.23	Crawley Town - Newport County	4:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Crawley Town - Charlton Athletic	4:3 ✺
English League Two
02.09.23	Stockport County - Crawley Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 WWWWT
- Sutton United
English League Cup
26.09.23	Port Vale - Sutton United	2:1 ✺
English League Two
23.09.23	Sutton United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.09.23	Sutton United - Aston Villa U21	2:3 penalties ✺
English League Two
16.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Sutton United	4:1 ✺
09.09.23	Swindon Town - Sutton United	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.03.23	Sutton United - Crawley Town	3:0
26.12.22	Crawley Town - Sutton United	1:2
26.04.22	Sutton United - Crawley Town	3:0
16.10.21	Crawley Town - Sutton United	0:1

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