Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 11

Date: 28 June 2023, Wednesday


	Suzhou Dongwu		Jinan Xingzhou

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.15
	3.25	2.95	2.2
	3.44	2.97	2.33
	3	2.9	2.3
	3.35	2.97	2.27
	3.05	3.1	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.55)	2.98 ↑ (2.94)	2.25 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
28.7%

Draw
30.6%

Jinan Xingzhou
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

31.6%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

31.8%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Suzhou Dongwu's form might have worsened.

Jinan Xingzhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jinan Xingzhou's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Suzhou Dongwu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jinan Xingzhou than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jinan Xingzhou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Suzhou Dongwu - Jinan Xingzhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Jinan Xingzhou will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Zhang Jingyi (G) 2. Wang Xijie 14. Huang Jiajun 3. Yao Ben 24. Xie Xiaofan 42. Shi Yucheng 28. Gao D. 10. Zhang Lingfeng. 18. Liang Weipeng 6. Dong H. 7. Wu Lei	16. Deng Xiaofei (G) 13. Zhai Zhaoyu 35. Lin Dai 14. Sunzu S. 19. Ma Chongchong 33. Ye Chongqiu 9. Lu Yongtao 37. Yi Xianlong 10. Wang Zihao 12. Li Suda 18. Tambe R.
Substitutes
19. Adil Abdulla 17. Adiljan Qeyser 4. Gu W. 5. Hu Mingfei 27. Liu Hao 21. Li Xinyu (G) 20. Men Yang 22. Tan J. 9. Xu Chunqing 30. Yuan Z. 8. Yu Longyun 11. Zhang Jingzhe	4. Liu Boyang 11. Odo M. 6. Song Yi 31. Tan Tiancheng 15. Wang Tong 29. Wu Junhao 7. Zhang Yuanshu 30. Zheng Hao (G) 28. Zhong Weihong

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 4).

Recent matches Suzhou Dongwu is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jinan Xingzhou is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jinan Xingzhou could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Jinan Xingzhou will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese FA Cup
22.06.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Meizhou Hakka	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
17.06.23	Dongguan Guanlian - Suzhou Dongwu	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Dandong Tengyue - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
03.06.23	Suzhou Dongwu - Wuxi Wugou	3:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
31.05.23	Qingdao Red Lions - Suzhou Dongwu	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTWW
- Jinan Xingzhou
Chinese Jia League
18.06.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Qingdao West Coast	3:0 ✺
10.06.23	Ningbo Professional - Jinan Xingzhou	0:1 ✺
04.06.23	Guangzhou Evergrande - Jinan Xingzhou	1:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
30.05.23	Zibo Qisheng - Jinan Xingzhou	2:1 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
27.05.23	Jinan Xingzhou - Yanbian Longding	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWTLW

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