Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 21

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Trefelin		Abergavenny Town

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.2	3.6
	1.71	4.4	3.31
	1.71	4.05	3.79
	1.7	4.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.86)	4.21 ↑ (4.09)	3.58 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
53.1%

Draw
21.5%

Abergavenny Town
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

22.2%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

21.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Abergavenny Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Trefelin is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Abergavenny Town is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trefelin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Trefelin is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Trefelin won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Trefelin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
13.01.24	Taffs Well AFC - Trefelin	1:2 ✺
05.01.24	Trefelin - Caerau Ely	3:1 ✺
30.12.23	Afan Lido - Trefelin	5:2 ✺
26.12.23	Trefelin - Afan Lido	2:1 ✺
15.12.23	Ammanford - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.8 WWLWT
- Abergavenny Town
Welsh Cymru South
12.01.24	Abergavenny Town - Goytre United	1:1 ✺
06.01.24	Pontardawe Town - Abergavenny Town	1:0 ✺
02.01.24	Abergavenny Town - Abertillery Bluebirds	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Abertillery Bluebirds - Abergavenny Town	1:1 ✺
15.12.23	Abergavenny Town - Carmarthen Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
06.10.23	Abergavenny Town - Trefelin	0:2
27.01.23	Trefelin - Abergavenny Town	1:3
21.10.22	Abergavenny Town - Trefelin	1:1

Trefelin - Abergavenny Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide