Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 23

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday


	Pontardawe Town		Afan Lido

	1	X	2
	2.9	4	2
	2.82	3.88	2.03
	2.91	3.92	2.01
	2.85	3.85	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (3.24)	3.91 ↓ (4.15)	2.01 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontardawe Town
31.6%

Draw
23.2%

Afan Lido
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

21.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

20.8%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontardawe Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Afan Lido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Afan Lido might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontardawe Town than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Afan Lido than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 4).

Pontardawe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Afan Lido is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pontardawe could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Afan Lido will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Pontardawe won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Pontardawe won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontardawe Town
Welsh Cymru South
02.02.24	Ammanford - Pontardawe Town	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Pontardawe Town - Caerau Ely	3:6 ✺
12.01.24	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Pontardawe Town	4:1 ✺
06.01.24	Pontardawe Town - Abergavenny Town	1:0 ✺
26.12.23	Carmarthen Town - Pontardawe Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWT
- Afan Lido
Welsh Cymru South
02.02.24	Afan Lido - Carmarthen Town	4:1 ✺
20.01.24	Llantwit Major - Afan Lido	1:0 ✺
12.01.24	Afan Lido - Baglan Dragons	0:2 ✺
05.01.24	Llanelli - Afan Lido	3:2 ✺
30.12.23	Afan Lido - Trefelin	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
22.09.23	Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town	2:3
11.02.23	Pontardawe Town - Afan Lido	1:2
05.11.22	Afan Lido - Pontardawe Town	3:3

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