Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 30

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday


	Swansea University		Cambrian United

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.25	1.54
	4.75	4.33	1.55
	4.2	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (3.52)	4.19 ↑ (4.03)	1.56 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea University
20.3%

Draw
21.7%

Cambrian United
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

22.4%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

22%

52.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea University has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swansea University's form might have worsened.

Cambrian United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambrian United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea University than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambrian United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Swansea University is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Cambrian & Clydach is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cambrian & Clydach could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Cambrian & Clydach is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea University won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Swansea University won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea University FC
Welsh Cymru South
14.04.23	Llanelli - Swansea University	2:0 ✺
07.04.23	Cwmbran Celtic - Swansea University	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Trefelin - Swansea University	2:2 ✺
17.03.23	Swansea University - Afan Lido	1:3 ✺
10.03.23	Swansea University - Carmarthen Town	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTTLL
- Cambrian United
Welsh Cymru South
15.04.23	Taffs Well AFC - Cambrian United	1:2 ✺
07.04.23	Cambrian United - Afan Lido	3:1 ✺
04.04.23	Ammanford - Cambrian United	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Cambrian United - Cwmbran Celtic	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Carmarthen Town - Cambrian United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
06.12.22	Cambrian United - Swansea University	2:3
Welsh League Cup
22.07.22	Swansea University - Cambrian United	4:3 penalties
Welsh Cymru South
12.03.22	Cambrian United - Swansea University	0:0
20.08.21	Swansea University - Cambrian United	0:2
Welsh FA Cup
07.12.19	Swansea University - Cambrian United	3:0

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