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Sweden vs Poland Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, March 31, 2026)

Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Promotion - Final

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Strawberry Arena (Solna)

Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler1 TV
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Mexico	Izzi TV
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 2, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter


	Sweden		Poland

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.6
	2.12	3.35	3.55
	2.17	3.4	3.72
	2.1	3.55	3.66	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.5
	2.18	3.45	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.17)	3.38 ↓ (3.52)	3.63 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sweden
45.3%

Draw
28.3%

Poland
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

27.3%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sweden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.4%	16.1%	19.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 84 users predict this event. Sweden will win (votes: 55 - 65.5%). Poland will win (votes: 17 - 20.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sweden: 55.3% – 75.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Sweden (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Poland (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Sweden (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sweden (1.48) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Sweden (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Sweden (votes: 9 - 75%). Poland (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Nordfeldt K. (G) AIK 2. Lagerbielke G. Braga 15. Starfelt C. Celta Vigo 3. Lindelof V. (C) Aston Villa 8. Svensson D. Dortmund 18. Ayari Y. Brighton 16. Karlstrom J. Udinese 5. Gudmundsson G. Leeds 11. Elanga A. Newcastle Utd 10. Nygren B. Celtic 17. Gyökeres V. Arsenal	1. Grabara K. (G) Wolfsburg 3. Wisniewski P. Widzew Lodz 5. Bednarek J. FC Porto 14. Kiwior J. FC Porto 2. Cash M. Aston Villa 20. Szymanski S. Rennes 10. Zielinski P. Inter 21. Zalewski N. Atalanta 7. Swiderski K. Panathinaikos 13. Kaminski J. 1. FC Koln 9. Lewandowski R. (C) Barcelona
Substitutes
21. Ali T. Malmo FF 7. Bergvall L. Tottenham 12. Ellborg M. (G) Sunderland 4. Eriksson V. Hammarby 20. Larsson H. Eintracht Frankfurt 14. Lundgren G. GAIS 9. Nilsson G. Club Brugge 13. Stroud E. Mjallby 19. Svanberg M. Wolfsburg 6. Swedberg W. Celta Vigo 1. Tornqvist N. (G) Como 22. Zeneli B. Royale Union SG	18. Bereszynski B. Palermo 22. Dragowski B. (G) Widzew Lodz 11. Grosicki K. Pogon Szczecin 4. Kedziora T. PAOK 12. Kochalski M. (G) Qarabag Agdam 8. Moder J. Feyenoord 23. Piatek K. Al-Duhail 15. Pietuszewski O. FC Porto 17. Rozga F. Sturm Graz 19. Skoras M. Gent 6. Slisz B. Brondby 16. Ziolkowski J. AS Roma
Coaches
Potter G.	Urban J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Elanga A. ⚽, Ayari Y. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Zalewski N. ⚽, Zielinski P. (A),
43', Kiwior J. 🟨,
44', 2 - 1, Lagerbielke G. ⚽, Nygren B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 2 - 2, Swiderski K. ⚽, Zalewski N. (A),
62', Karlstrom J. 🟨,
63', Swiderski K. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
65', Pietuszewski O. 🟨,
69', Karlstrom J. ↓, Zeneli B. ↑,
69', Elanga A. ↓, Bergvall L. ↑,
76', Bergvall L. 🟨,
81', Nygren B. ↓, Lundgren G. ↑,
88', 3 - 2, Gyökeres V. ⚽,
90+1', Cash M. ↓, Grosicki K. ↑,
90+2', Ayari Y. ↓, Svanberg M. ↑,
90+2', Zalewski N. ↓, Piatek K. ↑,
90+4', Piatek K. 🟨,

Preview

Sweden will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Sweden: Bernhardsson A. (Injury) Hien I. (Injury) Holm E. (Foot Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Johansson V. (Shoulder Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Kulusevski D. (Knee Injury) Smith E. (Injury) Widell Zetterstrom J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Poland: Buksa A. (Calf Injury) Kapustka B. (Injury) Skorupski L. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sweden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sweden
FIFA World Cup
26.03.26	Ukraine - Sweden	1:3 ✺
18.11.25	Sweden - Slovenia	1:1 ✺
15.11.25	Switzerland - Sweden	4:1 ✺
13.10.25	Sweden - Kosovo	0:1 ✺
10.10.25	Sweden - Switzerland	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLLL
- Poland
FIFA World Cup
26.03.26	Poland - Albania	2:1 ✺
17.11.25	Malta - Poland	2:3 ✺
14.11.25	Poland - Netherlands	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Lithuania - Poland	0:2 ✺
Friendly
09.10.25	Poland - New Zealand	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
29.03.22	Poland - Sweden	2:0
UEFA Euro
23.06.21	Sweden - Poland	3:2

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Sweden - Poland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide