Match Info

League Two - Round 42

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: County Ground (Swindon)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Swindon Town		Bradford City

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.25	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.2
	3.3	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.31	2.27	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.3
	3.12	3.26	2.26	Watch
	3.3	3.4	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	2.22 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
29.5%

Draw
28.3%

Bradford City
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

28.4%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

27.5%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Swindon Town - Bradford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Bradford will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Swindon (votes: 3 - 50%). Bradford (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ripley C. (G) 8. Clarke O. 5. Wright W. 20. Freckleton M. 7. Cotterill J. 18. Kilkenny G. 17. Nichols T. 34. Kirkman B. 9. Glatzel P. 21. Tshimanga K. 10. Smith H.	1. Walker S. (G) 5. Byrne N. 24. Shepherd J. 30. Crichlow-Noble R. 2. Halliday B. 6. Smallwood R. 16. Pattison A. 45. Adaramola T. 11. Khela B. 23. Pointon B. 8. Kavanagh C.
Substitutes
42. Ameen B. 22. Butterworth D. 1. Bycroft J. (G) 27. Cox G. 6. Ofoborh N. 2. Sobowale T. 25. Westley J.	25. Hilton J. (G) 22. Johnson C. 18. Kelly C. 26. Mellon M. 10. Sarcevic A. 7. Walker J. 17. Wright T.
Coaches
Holloway I.	Alexander G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Kavanagh C. ⚽, Halliday B. (A),
10', 0 - 2, Kavanagh C. ⚽,
14', Smallwood R. 🟥,
22', 1 - 2, Byrne N. (Own goal),
28', Kirkman B. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
30', Khela B. 🟨,
35', 1 - 3, Kavanagh C. ⚽, Halliday B. (A),
45+4', 2 - 3, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Clarke O. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Pattison A. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
46', Pointon B. ↓, Johnson C. ↑,
46', Clarke O. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
46', Kilkenny G. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
62', 3 - 3, Smith H. ⚽, Ameen B. (A),
64', Halliday B. 🟨,
74', Khela B. ↓, Sarcevic A. ↑,
75', Nichols T. ↓, Cox G. ↑,
76', Glatzel P. ↓, Ofoborh N. ↑,
78', 3 - 4, Halliday B. ⚽,
80', Shepherd J. 🟨,
82', Butterworth D. 🟨,
82', Adaramola T. 🟨,
90', 4 - 4, Smith H. ⚽, Cox G. (A),
90+3', Smith H. 🟨,
90+5', 5 - 4, Shepherd J. (Own goal),
90+6', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', Adaramola T. ↓, Mellon M. ↑,
90+7', Crichlow-Noble R. ↓, Wright T. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Bradford will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Swindon: Clarke O. (Inactive) Delaney R. (Injury) Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Hall G. (Inactive) McGregor J. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Ripley C. (Inactive)

There will not play in Bradford: Cook A. (Knee Injury) Richards L. (Injury) Sarcevic A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Bradford: Byrne N. (Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Swindon won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:17 (average 1.2:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:6 (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English League Two
05.04.25	Fleetwood Town - Swindon Town	0:4 ✺
01.04.25	Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Morecambe - Swindon Town	1:0 ✺
22.03.25	Swindon Town - Accrington Stanley	0:0 ✺
15.03.25	Swindon Town - Cheltenham Town	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLTT
- Bradford City
English League Two
05.04.25	Bradford City - Crewe Alexandra	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Port Vale - Bradford City	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Accrington Stanley - Bradford City	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Bradford City - Colchester United	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	Bradford City - Tranmere Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
14.12.24	Bradford City - Swindon Town	1:0
27.01.24	Swindon Town - Bradford City	2:0
07.10.23	Bradford City - Swindon Town	1:0
18.04.23	Swindon Town - Bradford City	1:0
25.10.22	Bradford City - Swindon Town	1:1
05.03.22	Bradford City - Swindon Town	1:2
23.10.21	Swindon Town - Bradford City	1:3

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