The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Port Vale 25.7%
Draw 28.2%
Bradford City 46.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.4%
28.2%
38.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
28.1%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Vale's form might have worsened.
Bradford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bradford City's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford City than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bradford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
25%
55%
Port Vale - Bradford City Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Bradford will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bradford: 35.7% โ 80.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.25 - Bradford (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bradford City will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Port Vale (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Bradford (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Gauci J. (G) 35. Magloire T. 24. Kyle John (C) 5. Hall C. 6. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 12. Walters R. 14. Ojo F. 27. Campbell E. 19. Waine B. 33. Hall G. 45. Gray A.
1. Walker S. (G) 7. Neufville J. 28. Pennington M. 26. Tilt C. 3. Touray I. 21. Metcalfe J. 6. Power M. (C) 10. Sarcevic A. 23. Pointon B. 17. Wright T. 27. Wheatley E.
Substitutes
13. Amos B. (G) 11. Archer E. 10. Brown D. 15. Gordon L. 50. Hernandez O. 26. Shipley J. 28. Ward G.
33. Ashby H. 8. Evans L. 25. Hilton J. (G) 11. Humphrys S. 14. Mullin P. 24. Swan W. 4. Wright J.
Coaches
Brady J.
Alexander G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Pointon B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ojo F. ↓, Ward G. ↑,
46', Waine B. ↓, Archer E. ↑,
46', Walters R. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
51', Power M. 🟨,
61', Campbell E. 🟨,
61', Magloire T. ↓, Gordon L. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Wright T. ⚽, Pointon B. (A),
69', Sarcevic A. ↓, Swan W. ↑,
70', Pointon B. ↓, Humphrys S. ↑,
70', Wheatley E. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
80', Neufville J. ↓, Ashby H. ↑,
84', Gray A. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
85', Hall C. 🟨,
90', Wright T. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
Recently, Bradford has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M.
(Neck Injury)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Johnson M.
(Inactive)
Lawrence-Gabriel J.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Bradford: Pennington M.
(Injury)
Powell N.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Bradford: Richards L.
(Injury)
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:17. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
Outrights of English League One for now
Bradford City: 8.71%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Bradford City
8
5
1
2
8:5
3
16
Last Results with these Odds
Port Vale - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 33.41%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
Bradford City - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.39%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.