The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 28.9%
Draw 28.6%
AFC Wimbledon 42.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.1%
27.8%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
28%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Wimbledon's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
45.5%
9.1%
45.5%
Swindon Town - AFC Wimbledon Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ripley C. (G) 34. Kirkman B. 5. Wright W. (C) 6. Ofoborh N. 22. Butterworth D. 9. Glatzel P. 7. Cotterill J. 27. Cox G. 25. Westley J. 10. Smith H. 21. Tshimanga K.
1. Goodman O. (G) 33. Ogundere I. 31. Lewis J. 5. O'Toole J. J. 11. Neufville J. 4. Reeves J. (C) 8. Maycock C. 12. Smith A. 7. Tilley J. 9. Bugiel O. 14. Stevens M.
Substitutes
42. Ameen B. 1. Bycroft J. (G) 16. Cain J. 20. Freckleton M. 18. Kilkenny G. 17. Nichols T. 2. Sobowale T.
16. Ball J. 18. Browne M. 26. Harbottle R. 10. Kelly J. 39. Pigott J. 29. Sasu A. 22. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Holloway I.
Jackson J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Lewis J. 🟨,
45', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Stevens M. ↓, Browne M. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Browne M. ⚽,
63', Smith A. 🟨,
67', Butterworth D. ↓, Kilkenny G. ↑,
68', Westley J. ↓, Nichols T. ↑,
68', Kirkman B. ↓, Freckleton M. ↑,
80', Cotterill J. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,
80', Ofoborh N. ↓, Cain J. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
90+1', Maycock C. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
90+3', Reeves J. 🟨,
90+3', O'Toole J. J. 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Pen),
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A.
(Knee Injury)
Hall G.
(Inactive)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R.
(Injury)
McGregor J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M.
(Inactive)
Pigott J.
(Inactive)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Swindon won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.1:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 0.8:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Swindon Town - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.11%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
United-kingdom
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Ripley C. (G) 
Ofoborh N. 
Glatzel P. 
Cotterill J. 
O'Toole J. J. 
Bugiel O. 
Ameen B. 
Kelly J. 
Sasu A. 
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