The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Swindon Town 22.3%
Draw 28.3%
Stevenage Borough 49.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
30%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
29.3%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stevenage Borough's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
16.7%
38.9%
Swindon Town - Stevenage Borough Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Swindon will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Stevenage will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 21.4% – 67.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
Swindon has the most likely position - 5 (11.37%), has project points - 73, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (43%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Stevenage has the most likely position - 1 (38.75%), has project points - 88, has currently - 55, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a good chance of promoted (83%), has a chance of win league (39%).
This event has small quality17, importance63, match rating40. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 1.
Recent matches Swindon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Stevenage is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Stevenage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Swindon won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.
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