Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 41

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: Victoria Park (Hartlepool)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)


	Hartlepool United		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.95
	3.8	3.3	1.98
	3.9	3.5	1.9
	4.08	3.44	2.01
	3.9	3.3	1.95
	3.88	3.46	1.96	Watch
	3.65	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 (3.89)	3.39 ↑ (3.3)	1.96 (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hartlepool United
24.2%

Draw
27.8%

Stevenage Borough
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

28.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

29.7%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	36.4%	27.3%

Hartlepool United - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Hartlepool will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Stevenage will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hartlepool: 8% – 64.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Hartlepool has the most likely position - 23 (38.33%), project points - 44, currently - 38, a chance of relegated (48%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

Stevenage has the most likely position - 2 (30.06%), project points - 80, currently - 69, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (44%), a good chance of promoted (60%), a very small chance of win league (2%).

This event has small quality 10, big importance 84, match rating 47. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1.

Hartlepool is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Stevenage is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Stevenage is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 6-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Hartlepool won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hartlepool United
English League Two
07.04.23	Grimsby Town - Hartlepool United	1:4 ✺
01.04.23	Hartlepool United - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Hartlepool United - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Bradford City - Hartlepool United	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Hartlepool United - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.3 WWTTT
- Stevenage Borough
English League Two
07.04.23	Stevenage Borough - Colchester United	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Stevenage Borough - Salford City	1:3 ✺
18.03.23	Carlisle United - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
14.03.23	Stevenage Borough - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
12.11.22	Stevenage Borough - Hartlepool United	1:0
22.01.22	Hartlepool United - Stevenage Borough	1:1
02.10.21	Stevenage Borough - Hartlepool United	2:0
21.01.17	Hartlepool United - Stevenage Borough	2:0
03.09.16	Stevenage Borough - Hartlepool United	6:1
09.02.16	Hartlepool United - Stevenage Borough	1:2
22.08.15	Stevenage Borough - Hartlepool United	2:0

Upcoming Matches