Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 19

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Swindon Town		Mansfield Town

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.2	1.91
	3.6	3.9	1.87
	3.6	4	1.87	Watch
	3.68	4.1	1.92
	3.68	4.11	1.93
	3.6	3.8	1.83
	3.68	3.92	1.87	Watch
	3.35	3.85	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.77)	3.99 ↑ (3.46)	1.89 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swindon Town
26.3%

Draw
23.7%

Mansfield Town
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

27.6%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swindon Town's form might have worsened.

Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mansfield Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Swindon Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mansfield Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Swindon Town - Mansfield Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mahoney M. (G) 22. Godwin-Malife U. 31. Minturn H. 5. Blake-Tracey F. (C) 2. Hutton R. 8. Khan S. 6. McEachran G. 23. Kinsella L. 17. Kokolo W. 7. Young J. 10. Kemp D.	1. Pym C. (G) 2. Johnson C. 14. Flint A. (C) 24. Brunt L. 6. Cargill B. 15. Lewis A. 25. Reed L. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 10. Maris G. 9. Bowery J. 18. Oates R.
Substitutes
32. Austin C. 35. Brown J. 26. Dworzak A. 14. Genesini B. 36. Hart S. 28. Shade T. 44. Ward L. (G)	7. Akins L. 44. Boateng H. 13. Flinders S. (G) 11. MacDonald C. 16. Quinn S. 26. Swan W. 22. Williams G.
Coaches
Flynn M.	Clough N.

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 3.

Swindon has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mansfield is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mansfield will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Swindon won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swindon Town
English EFL Trophy
21.11.23	Swindon Town - Exeter City	0:1 ✺
English League Two
18.11.23	Harrogate Town - Swindon Town	1:1 ✺
11.11.23	Swindon Town - Stockport County	2:4 ✺
07.11.23	Colchester United - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Swindon Town - Aldershot Town	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL
- Mansfield Town
English EFL Trophy
21.11.23	Burton Albion - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
English League Two
18.11.23	Mansfield Town - Newport County	2:0 ✺
11.11.23	Salford City - Mansfield Town	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.11.23	Mansfield Town - Everton U21	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Mansfield Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
07.04.23	Swindon Town - Mansfield Town	2:4
29.10.22	Mansfield Town - Swindon Town	2:5
11.01.22	Mansfield Town - Swindon Town	3:2
28.08.21	Swindon Town - Mansfield Town	1:0
23.11.19	Swindon Town - Mansfield Town	1:0
29.12.18	Mansfield Town - Swindon Town	0:0
20.10.18	Swindon Town - Mansfield Town	0:0

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