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Current Win Probability
AFC Wimbledon 57.1%
Draw 24.7%
Swindon Town 18.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.6%
25.2%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52%
25%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AFC Wimbledon's performance.
Swindon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AFC Wimbledon that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
76.2%
14.3%
9.5%
AFC Wimbledon - Swindon Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Swindon will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 58% – 94.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Goodman O. (G) 26. Harbottle R. 5. O'Toole J. J. 6. Johnson R. (C) 11. Neufville J. 41. Hutchinson S. 12. Smith A. 7. Tilley J. 14. Stevens M. 10. Kelly J. 9. Bugiel O.
12. Barden D. (G) 2. Sobowale T. 5. Wright W. 24. Hall G. 4. Delaney R. 27. Cox G. 8. Clarke O. (C) 18. Kilkenny G. 7. Cotterill J. 10. Smith H. 21. Tshimanga K.
Substitutes
3. Furlong J. 33. Ogundere I. 39. Pigott J. 4. Reeves J. 29. Sasu A. 19. Sawyers R. 22. Ward L. (G)
22. Butterworth D. 1. Bycroft J. (G) 23. Drinan A. 9. Glatzel P. 34. Kirkman B. 14. Longelo-Mbule R. 6. Ofoborh N.
Coaches
Jackson J.
Holloway I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Smith H. ⚽, Cotterill J. (A),
40', Bugiel O. ↓, Pigott J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Tilley J. ⚽, Neufville J. (A),
66', Tshimanga K. ↓, Drinan A. ↑,
67', Cox G. ↓, Kirkman B. ↑,
73', Kelly J. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
73', Hutchinson S. ↓, Sawyers R. ↑,
76', Cotterill J. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
83', Sobowale T. ↓, Longelo-Mbule R. ↑,
88', Wright W. 🟨,
90+3', Delaney R. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 2.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
In this match Wimbledon is a favorite.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.5:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 2.3:1.5).
United-kingdom
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Goodman O. (G) 
O'Toole J. J. 
Johnson R. (C) 
Bugiel O. 
Barden D. (G) 
Sasu A. 
Sawyers R. 
Glatzel P. 
Ofoborh N. 
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