Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: dos Santos F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Zapping


	São Bernardo		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	2.01	2.7	4.5
	2.05	2.95	3.7
	2	2.92	4.15
	2.09	2.98	4.64
	2.05	3.1	3.95	Watch
	2.05	2.8	3.9
	2.06	2.76	4.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.95)	2.89 ↓ (2.98)	4.19 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
45.5%

Draw
32.3%

Ponte Preta
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

31.4%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

33%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ponte Preta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

São Bernardo - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 35. Jemerson 97. Augusto 6. Para 8. Foguinho (C) 17. Romisson 11. Pedro Vitor 26. Dudu Miraima 27. Echapora 89. Daniel Amorim	12. Diogo Silva (G) 22. Thalys 3. Lucas Cunha 44. Marcio Silva 32. Kevyson 20. Murilo 5. Rodrigo Souza (C) 8. Andre Lima 7. Diego Tavares 31. Bryan Borges 9. Willian Pottker
Substitutes
37. Davi D. 10. Fabricio Daniel 9. Felipe Garcia 25. Gonzaga W. 21. Hugo Sanches 42. Hyoran 31. Lucas Fernandes 90. Luizao 77. Marcao Silva 40. Matheus Nogueira (G) 22. Pablo Dyego 29. Pedrinho	26. Baianinho 21. Brandao 14. Danilo Barcelos 13. Diego Porfirio 1. Guilherme Viana (G) 19. Jonathan Cafu 2. Lucas Justen 11. Luis Phelipe 17. Miguel Morais 23. Palacios S. 38. Tarik 16. Weverton
Coaches
Ricardo Catala	Rodrigo Santana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Foguinho ⚽, Pedro Vitor (A),
21', Foguinho 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Thalys ↓, Lucas Justen ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Para ⚽, Rodrigo Ferreira (A),
58', Pedro Vitor 🟨,
61', Pedro Vitor ↓, Fabricio Daniel ↑,
61', Daniel Amorim ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
67', Diego Tavares ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
67', Rodrigo Souza ↓, Luis Phelipe ↑,
71', Romisson ↓, Hyoran ↑,
71', Foguinho ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
74', Marcio Silva 🟨,
75', Lucas Cunha 🟨,
79', 3 - 0, Fabricio Daniel (Penalty Awarded),
80', Echapora ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
85', Willian Pottker ↓, Brandao ↑,
86', Bryan Borges ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
90', Luis Phelipe 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ponte Preta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

São Bernardo might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in São Bernardo: Helder Maciel (Yellow Cards) Mario Sergio (Inactive) Matheus Salustiano (Injury) Rodrigo Andrade (Injury)

There are questionable in Ponte Preta: David Braz (Inactive) David da Hora (Inactive) Diego Porfirio (Inactive) Elvis (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, São Bernardo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, São Bernardo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Sao Bernardo: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Sao Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	10	45
20	Ponte Preta ✔	32	3	4	25	17:68	-51	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
30.04.26	Tombense - São Bernardo	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.04.26	São Bernardo - Goiás	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Náutico Capibaribe - São Bernardo	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	São Bernardo - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
12.04.26	São Bernardo - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWLL
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
24.04.26	Ponte Preta - América Mineiro	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Avaí - Ponte Preta	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Ponte Preta	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Ponte Preta - Ceará	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
21.01.26	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	0:1
Brazilian Serie C
12.07.25	São Bernardo - Ponte Preta	2:0
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
04.02.24	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	3:3
05.02.22	São Bernardo - Ponte Preta	2:0
25.02.17	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	1:0
22.02.15	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	2:0
24.02.13	Ponte Preta - São Bernardo	1:1

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