Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 13

Date: 20 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, Zapping


	Ypiranga		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.37	2.75	2.95
	2.42	2.72	3	Watch
	2.63	2.81	3.11
	3.06	2.63	2.72	Watch
	2.4	2.62	3.1
	2.53	2.66	3.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.24)	2.7 ↓ (2.94)	2.99 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
35.6%

Draw
33.9%

São Bernardo
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

31%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

30.3%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

São Bernardo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ypiranga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Ypiranga - São Bernardo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ypiranga will win (votes: 2 - 40%). São Bernardo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ypiranga (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ypiranga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Ze Carlos (C) 5. Charles Raphael 9. Cristiano 11. Felipe Marques 25. Gabriel Terra 36. Igor Morais 10. Jean Pyerre 16. Lucas Ramos 22. Rian K. R. d. N. 7. Roger 3. Willian Gomes	12. Junior Oliveira (G) 32. Bastos R. 20. Emerson Santos 11. Felipe Azevedo 35. Foguinho 3. Helder Maciel (C) 21. Hugo Sanches 95. Para 59. Pedro Felipe 4. Rafael Forster 17. Romisson
Substitutes
34. Arthur Vellasque (G) 19. Caique 8. Clayton 99. Danielzinho 33. Eduardo Grechi 32. Fabao 30. Lucas Fogaca 43. Luciano 23. Marlone 20. Maxuel Cassio 18. Montefiori T. 2. Vitor Marinho	1. Alex Alves (G) 97. Augusto 7. Echapora 90. Felipe Garcia 22. Leo Duarte 70. Lucas Reis 13. Matheus Salustiano 25. Pedro Carrerette 30. Sillas 31. Victor Andrade 10. Vitinho
Coaches
Matheus Costa	Ricardo Catala

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Felipe Azevedo 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Felipe Azevedo ⚽,
34', Gabriel Terra 🟨,
38', Igor Morais 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gabriel Terra ↓, Vitor Marinho ↑,
52', 🟨,
56', Lucas Ramos ↓, Clayton ↑,
68', Jean Pyerre ↓, Danielzinho ↑,
77', Bastos R. ↓, Felipe Garcia ↑,
77', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Echapora ↑,
79', 🟨,
83', Felipe Marques ↓, Marlone ↑,
90+2', Pedro Felipe ↓, Lucas Reis ↑,
90+2', Foguinho ↓, Matheus Salustiano ↑,
90+6', Romisson ↓, Augusto ↑,
90+7', 0 - 2, Felipe Garcia ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Ypiranga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

São Bernardo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Last Results with these Odds

São Bernardo - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 28.42%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
12.07.25	Floresta - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Ypiranga - Maringá	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	ABC - Ypiranga	0:3 ✺
15.06.25	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:0 ✺
02.06.25	Ponte Preta - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 LTWWW
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie C
12.07.25	São Bernardo - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Botafogo PB - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	São Bernardo - Anápolis	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Ituano - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
02.06.25	São Bernardo - CS Alagoano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
02.06.24	São Bernardo - Ypiranga	1:0
21.08.23	São Bernardo - Ypiranga	1:0

Upcoming Matches