Match Info

Serie B - Round 14

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Primeiro de Maio (Sao Bernardo)

Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	São Bernardo		Juventude

	1	X	2
	2.70	2.85	2.70
	2.65	2.85	2.65
	2.55	3.05	2.80
	2.66	2.96	3.15
	2.55	2.81	3.17	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.80
	2.56	2.84	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.51)	2.87 ↓ (2.89)	2.9 ↓ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Bernardo
35.4%

Draw
32.4%

Juventude
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

32.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

31.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Juventude has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

São Bernardo - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. São Bernardo will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alex Alves (G) 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 97. Augusto 90. Luizao 6. Para 26. Dudu Miraima 8. Foguinho (C) 11. Pedro Vitor 17. Romisson 27. Echapora 9. Felipe Garcia	93. Jandrei (G) 34. Rodrigo Sam (C) 4. Messias 47. Marcos Paulo 13. Lima K. 75. Rai Silva 8. Lucas Mineiro 16. Diogo Barbosa 11. Fabio Lima 10. MP 25. Alisson Safira
Substitutes
37. Davi D. 25. Gonzaga W. 3. Helder Maciel 21. Hugo Sanches 42. Hyoran 30. Junior Urso 7. Lucas Rian 77. Marcao Silva 33. Mario Sergio 40. Matheus Nogueira (G) 19. Neto Costa 22. Pablo Dyego	20. Allanzinho 17. Castro M. 97. Gabriel Pinheiro 5. Luan Martins 44. Mandaca 30. Patryck 12. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Rai Ramos 27. Ray Breno 21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 3. Titi 6. Wadson
Coaches
Ricardo Catala	Mauricio Barbieri

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Luizao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', Pedro Vitor ↓, Lucas Rian ↑,
51', Rai Silva 🟨,
54', Aderlan 🟨,
62', Lucas Mineiro ↓, Luan Martins ↑,
62', Rai Silva ↓, Mandaca ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Alisson Safira ⚽, Mandaca (A),
69', Messias ↓, Gabriel Pinheiro ↑,
69', MP ↓, Castro M. ↑,
71', Lucas Rian 🟨,
75', Augusto 🟨,
78', Foguinho ↓, Hyoran ↑,
78', Echapora ↓, Davi D. ↑,
85', Gabriel Pinheiro 🟨,
87', Aderlan ↓, Allanzinho ↑,
90', Para ↓, Mario Sergio ↑,
90+1', Felipe Garcia ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
90+6', Mandaca 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 8).

São Bernardo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juventude has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Juventude may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in São Bernardo: Helder Maciel (Inactive) Jemerson (Red Card) Lucas Fernandes (Inactive) Matheus Salustiano (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Andrade (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Juventude: Allanzinho (Inactive) Pablo Roberto (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in São Bernardo: Fabricio Daniel (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Juventude: Alan Ruschel (Muscle Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Juventude	32	17	8	7	37:19	18	59
12	Sao Bernardo	32	12	9	11	44:34	10	45

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie B
14.06.26	São Bernardo - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	CRB Maceio - São Bernardo	2:3 ✺
31.05.26	São Bernardo - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
24.05.26	Atlético Goianiense - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	São Bernardo - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 TWTWT
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
14.06.26	Juventude - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
05.06.26	Operário Ferroviario - Juventude	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Juventude - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
23.05.26	Juventude - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Athletic Club - Juventude	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLT

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