Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 1

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena Condá (Chapecó)


	Chapecoense		São Bernardo

	1	X	2
	2.26	2.85	3.40	Watch
	2.5	3	2.6
	2.51	3.02	2.61
	2.46	3.04	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.46)	2.98 ↓ (3.04)	2.8 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chapecoense
37.2%

Draw
30.4%

São Bernardo
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

29.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

São Bernardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Bernardo than the current prediction. (+3%)

Chapecoense - São Bernardo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Santos (G) 6. Bruno Pacheco 8. David Antunes 10. Enio 4. Joao Paulo 7. Kaue 2. Marcos Vinicius 9. Neto Pessoa 3. Rafael Thyere 5. Vinicius Balieiro 11. Wermeson	40. Matheus Nogueira (G) 89. Daniel Amorim 26. Dudu Miraima 8. Foguinho 25. Gonzaga W. 51. Hugo Sanches 30. Junior Urso 5. Matheus Salustiano 29. Pedrinho 16. Pedro Vieira Ferraz J. 11. Pedro Vitor
Substitutes
25. Endrio R. 17. Everton 20. Felipe L. 22. Gleidson 19. Godoy K. 16. Iago 21. Joao Bom 12. Kaina (G) 14. Kauan 18. Miguel 23. Pedro Perotti 15. Vinicius Eduardo	37. Davi D. 27. Echapora 39. Hwaskar 12. Junior Oliveira (G) 90. Luizao 77. Marcao Silva 19. Neto Costa 2. Rodrigo Ferreira 20. Rodrigues F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Wermeson ⚽,
45+1', Hugo Sanches 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Dudu Miraima ↓, Marcao Silva ↑,
56', Pedro Vitor ↓, Echapora ↑,
57', Junior Urso ↓, Rodrigues F. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Daniel Amorim ⚽,
62', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Everton ↑,
67', Pedro Vieira Ferraz J. ↓, Rodrigo Ferreira ↑,
72', Kaue ↓, Endrio R. ↑,
72', Neto Pessoa ↓, Pedro Perotti ↑,
81', Foguinho 🟨,
84', Foguinho ↓, Davi D. ↑,
85', Wermeson ↓, Gleidson ↑,
85', David Antunes ↓, Miguel ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Pedro Perotti ⚽,
90+6', Bruno Pacheco 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie A
22.03.26	Internacional RS - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Chapecoense - Corinthians	0:0 ✺
16.03.26	Chapecoense - Grêmio	1:1 ✺
12.03.26	São Paulo - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
08.03.26	Chapecoense - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTLW
- São Bernardo FC
Brazilian Serie B
21.03.26	Ceará - São Bernardo	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
17.03.26	São Bernardo - Ceará	0:1 penalties ✺
10.03.26	Joinville - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	São Bernardo - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	São Bernardo - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWWL

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