Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio do Morumbi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV5


	São Paulo		Tigre

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	6	Watch
	1.57	4	5.75
	1.6	3.85	5.6
	1.53	4.18	6.32
	1.52	3.7	5.8
	1.53	4.2	5.95	Watch
	1.54	4	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.47)	4.02 ↓ (4.18)	5.86 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Paulo
60.7%

Draw
23.3%

Tigre
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

22.2%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

21.5%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Paulo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

São Paulo - Tigre Predictions

Users Predictions: São Paulo will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rafael (G) 28. Franco A. 5. Robert Arboleda 45. Nathan Mendes 38. Caio Paulista 20. Gabriel Neves 29. Pablo Maia 21. Mendez J. 10. Luciano 22. David 32. Marcos Paulo	23. Marinelli G. (G) 30. Leizza B. 2. Aguilera E. 6. Luciatti B. 13. Montoya L. 27. Zabala C. 15. Cardozo A. 24. Garay M. 28. Molinas A. 11. Colidio F. 32. Retegui M.
Substitutes
7. Alisson 4. Diego Costa 93. Jandrei (G) 9. Jonathan Calleri 31. Juan 8. Luan 35. Lucas Beraldo 46. Negrucci Berdague F. 36. Patryck 34. Rai Ramos 18. Rodriguinho 27. Wellington Rato	18. Armoa B. 29. Badaloni T. 25. Baldi A. 17. Blondel L. 36. Cabrera V. 22. Flores G. 26. Forclaz E. 21. Medina S. 7. Obando A. 4. Ortega M. 5. Prediger S. 33. Rojas S. (G)
Coaches
Junior D.	Sara J.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

São Paulo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match São Paulo is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches São Paulo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams São Paulo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Paulo FC
Brazilian Serie A
24.06.23	Cruzeiro - São Paulo	1:0 ✺
21.06.23	São Paulo - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
11.06.23	São Paulo - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
08.06.23	São Paulo - Deportes Tolima	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
04.06.23	Grêmio - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL
- CA Tigre
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.06.23	Tigre - Vélez Sársfield	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	Platense - Tigre	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.06.23	Tigre - Academia Puerto Cabello	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.06.23	Tigre - Talleres de Córdoba	1:3 ✺
28.05.23	Boca Juniors - Tigre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
06.04.23	Tigre - São Paulo	0:2
05.12.12	Tigre - São Paulo	0:0

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