Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 10

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Técnico Universitario		Emelec

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.4	Watch
	2.2	2.98	3.3	Watch
	2.27	3.05	3.63
	2.2	3.11	3.48	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.4
	2.23	2.99	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.46)	2.99 (2.99)	3.45 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Técnico Universitario
42.2%

Draw
31%

Emelec
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

31.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

31%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Emelec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Técnico Universitario - Emelec Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Técnico Univ will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Razzeto S. (G) 19. Castillo A. 5. Cagua M. 27. Copete A. 85. Arce Y. 28. Perea M. 10. Johan Bocanegra 70. Castano M. 33. Majao J. 7. Estupinan L. (C) 8. Chaves M.	12. Ortiz P. (C) 14. Caicedo R. 16. Quintero S. 2. Leguizamon A. 51. Valencia S. 3. Guerrico I. 5. Mina A. 6. Griffith V. 30. Mina A. 21. Cevallos J. 7. Klimowicz L.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 11. Arteaga C. 16. Caicedo J. 90. Caicedo W. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 15. Castillo F. 53. Chilla R. 25. Delgado B. 9. Fernandez L. 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 12. Morales A. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.	18. Carabali M. 15. Fragozo L. 20. Gonzaga J. 80. Herrera O. 9. Neris J. 10. Pizzini F. 19. Ruiz J. 4. Segura E. 1. Valero M. (G) 24. Viteri A.
Coaches
Usucar F.	Sanchez V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', Mina A. 🟨,
58', Chaves M. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
65', Castillo A. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
72', Mina A. ↓, Neris J. ↑,
72', Klimowicz L. ↓, Fragozo L. ↑,
77', Griffith V. 🟨,
84', Mina A. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
90+2', Castano M. 🟨,
90+3', Johan Bocanegra 🟨,
90+4', 0 - 1, Cevallos J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', Johan Bocanegra ↓, Caicedo W. ↑,
90+6', Perea M. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
90+7', Estupinan L. 🟨,
90+7', Guerrico I. ↓, Segura E. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2.

Técnico Univ has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Emelec is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Emelec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:26. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.04.26	Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:2 ✺
05.04.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWLW
- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.04.26	Emelec - Guayaquil City	1:3 ✺
12.04.26	SD Aucas - Emelec	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Emelec	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.08.25	Técnico Universitario - Emelec	0:1
27.04.25	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	0:1
22.09.24	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	3:1
Ecuadorian Copa
08.09.24	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	0:1 penalties
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.04.24	Técnico Universitario - Emelec	1:1
17.08.23	Técnico Universitario - Emelec	0:0
19.03.23	Emelec - Técnico Universitario	1:0

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