Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 7

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio George Capwell (Guayaquil)

Referee: Zambrano Y. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Emelec		Deportivo Cuenca

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.82	3.25	4.15	Watch
	1.86	3.3	4.93
	1.82	3.32	4.67	Watch
	1.83	3	4
	1.83	3.24	4.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.88)	3.24 ↓ (3.38)	4.42 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emelec
50.6%

Draw
28.5%

Deportivo Cuenca
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.6%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

28.9%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ortiz P. (G) 27. Leon F. (C) 4. Segura E. 2. Leguizamon A. 14. Caicedo R. 5. Mina A. 6. Griffith V. 3. Guerrico I. 10. Pizzini F. 8. Napoli G. 7. Klimowicz L.	1. Ferrero F. (G) 21. Morocho S. 28. Boolsen P. 6. Postel S. 37. Arboleda C. 23. Guevara E. 8. Vega E. 7. Mancinelli L. (C) 49. Gonzalez D. 19. Diaz M. 9. Leguizamon N.
Substitutes
21. Cevallos J. 20. Gonzaga J. 80. Herrera O. 30. Mina A. 9. Neris J. 16. Quintero S. 19. Ruiz J. 35. Tobar B. 51. Valencia S. 1. Valero M. (G) 24. Viteri A.	14. Chacon J. 53. Erique Villigua Y. H. 20. Garcia B. 10. Ibarra R. 29. Klimowicz M. 16. Mejia J. 12. Minda E. (G) 43. Ordonez J. 18. Piedra M. 11. Rivero G. 50. Siguenza M.
Coaches
Sanchez V.	Celico J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Morocho S. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
58', Guevara E. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
64', Pizzini F. ↓, Neris J. ↑,
68', Leguizamon N. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
68', Gonzalez D. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
72', Mina A. 🟨,
73', Segura E. 🟥,
76', Napoli G. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
78', Mancinelli L. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
80', 0 - 1, Klimowicz M. ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+5', Mina A. ↓, Gonzaga J. ↑,
90+6', Klimowicz L. ↓, Cevallos J. ↑,
90+7', 0 - 2, Rivero G. ⚽, Ordonez J. (A),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, Emelec is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emelec
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
22.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Emelec	2:0 ✺
19.03.26	Emelec - Independiente del Valle	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Emelec - Orense	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Emelec - Delfín	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLT
- Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
21.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
13.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	SD Aucas - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
04.03.26	Deportivo Cuenca - Libertad Loja	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
20.12.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	5:1
04.10.25	Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca	3:1
11.08.25	Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca	1:1
19.04.25	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	0:1
04.08.24	Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca	0:1
02.03.24	Deportivo Cuenca - Emelec	1:2
03.12.23	Emelec - Deportivo Cuenca	2:1

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