Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 8

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)

Referee: Leon R. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports 2+, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Técnico Universitario		Universidad Católica del Ecuador

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.91	Watch
	3.45	3.3	2
	3.9	3.3	2.06
	3.7	3.39	2.01	Watch
	3.4	3	2
	3.74	3.25	2.03	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.16)	3.25 ↓ (3.39)	2 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Técnico Universitario
25.4%

Draw
28.4%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

27.5%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

26.9%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Técnico Universitario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Razzeto S. (G) 23. Mesa Mercado E. E. 5. Cagua M. 13. Anaya J. 27. Copete A. 28. Perea M. 10. Johan Bocanegra 70. Castano M. 33. Majao J. 7. Estupinan L. (C) 17. Montes J.	22. Romo R. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. (C) 4. Jhon Chancellor 44. Valencia E. 23. Rodriguez A. 5. Cacciabue J. 32. Alonso M. 15. Moreno L. 30. Mejia E. 7. Fajardo J.
Substitutes
30. Arce K. 16. Caicedo J. 90. Caicedo W. 67. Carrasco Bonilla M. A. 19. Castillo A. 8. Chaves M. 53. Chilla R. 25. Delgado B. 9. Fernandez L. 77. Garcia C. 12. Morales A. (G) 6. Torres Nazareno L. B.	20. Chala J. 28. Diaz M. 12. Lara J. (G) 9. Londono A. 24. Nazareno D. 18. Palacios B. 6. Palacios D. 13. Rose E. 19. Sevillano M. 26. Yanez S.
Coaches
Usucar F.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Cagua M. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Jhon Chancellor ⚽, Canga L. (A),
30', Canga L. 🟨,
38', Majao J. 🟨,
45+1', Castano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Alonso M. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
67', Estupinan L. ↓, Fernandez L. ↑,
67', Montes J. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
67', Copete A. ↓, Caicedo W. ↑,
80', Castano M. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
80', Rodriguez A. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
80', Mejia E. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
80', Mesa Mercado E. E. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
87', Caicedo J. 🟨,
89', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Palacios B. ⚽, Diaz M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 1.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Uni Católica will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Técnico Univ won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. Catolica	31	14	9	8	52:29	23	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.04.26	Manta - Técnico Universitario	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Técnico Universitario - Independiente del Valle	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	SD Aucas - Técnico Universitario	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Técnico Universitario - Libertad Loja	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Deportivo Macará - Técnico Universitario	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WLWWT
- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.04.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Emelec	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Guayaquil City	4:1 ✺
22.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
24.08.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario	2:0
03.05.25	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1
04.11.24	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:0
Ecuadorian Copa
19.09.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario	3:2 penalties
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.05.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario	3:2
05.08.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Técnico Universitario	0:0
26.02.23	Técnico Universitario - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	4:1

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