Match Info

Liga Pro - Round 6

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha (Guayaquil)

Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	Zapping Sports
Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Barcelona Guayaquil		Universidad Católica del Ecuador

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.4	3.2	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.3
	2.08	3.3	3.25
	2.19	3.35	3.48
	2.13	3.34	3.39	Watch
	2.05	3	3.25
	2.13	3.3	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.1)	3.27 (3.27)	3.32 ↓ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona Guayaquil
44.2%

Draw
28.1%

Universidad Católica del Ecuador
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

28.6%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.4%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Uni Católica (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Barcelona Guayaquil will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 50%). Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Contreras J. (G) 18. Carabali B. 33. Baez J. 14. Rangel A. 4. Vallecilla G. 32. Lugo M. 8. Celiz M. 28. Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (C) 16. Cano L. 21. Villalba H. 9. Benedetto D.	22. Romo R. (G) 29. Anangono G. 33. Canga L. 4. Jhon Chancellor 44. Valencia E. 32. Alonso M. 5. Cacciabue J. 8. Clavijo E. (C) 30. Mejia E. 28. Diaz M. 7. Fajardo J.
Substitutes
26. Castillo B. 22. Cevallos J. (G) 44. Chala Rosales W. J. 35. Intriago J. 23. Martinez T. 12. Mina J. 5. Montano C. 80. Nunez S. 11. Parrales M. 15. Perlaza J. 3. Sosa L. 27. Vargas W.	12. Lara J. (G) 9. Londono A. 10. Martinez F. 37. Medina C. 15. Moreno L. 24. Nazareno D. 18. Palacios B. 6. Palacios D. 23. Rodriguez A. 13. Rose E. 19. Sevillano M. 26. Yanez S.
Coaches
Farias Acosta C. A.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Carabali B. 🟨,
45+5', Canga L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Villalba H. ↓, Martinez T. ↑,
47', 0 - 1, Fajardo J. ⚽,
67', 1 - 1, Benedetto D. ⚽,
71', Carabali B. ↓, Intriago J. ↑,
72', Celiz M. ↓, Vargas W. ↑,
73', Alonso M. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
74', Mejia E. ↓, Londono A. ↑,
76', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
80', Cacciabue J. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
80', Diaz M. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
86', Romo R. 🟨,
87', Anangono G. 🟨,
87', Cano L. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
89', Martinez F. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 1.

Barcelona is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Uni Católica has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Barcelona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Barcelona will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	U. Catolica	31	14	9	8	52:29	23	51
6	Barcelona SC	30	11	11	8	32:25	7	44

Last Results with these Odds

Barcelona Guayaquil - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.5%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.03.26	Libertad Loja - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Guayaquil City - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.03.26	Botafogo RJ - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Emelec	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.03.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Botafogo RJ	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TTWWT
- Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
17.03.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	LDU Quito - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Leones del Norte	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Mushuc Runa - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
12.02.26	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Juventud de Las Piedras	3:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Liga Pro
07.12.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:1
02.11.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	1:1
31.08.25	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	2:3
11.05.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	2:2
25.08.24	Barcelona Guayaquil - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	1:0
01.05.24	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1
03.12.23	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Barcelona Guayaquil	0:1

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