Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 6

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.7	1.75
	3.65	3.85	1.72
	3.78	3.53	1.86	Watch
	3.96	3.72	1.73	Watch
	3.2	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.01)	3.68 ↓ (3.73)	1.82 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
25.2%

Draw
24.8%

Unia Swarzędz
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

24.4%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

24.6%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tłuchowia Tłuchowo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Unia Swarzędz Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Tłuchowia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Unia Swarzędz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Unia Swarzędz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Unia Swarzędz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tłuchowia Tłuchowo
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Noteć Czarnków	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Flota Świnoujście	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Tłuchowia Tłuchowo	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLLL
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Lech Poznań 2	1:4 ✺
23.08.25	Wda Świecie - Unia Swarzędz	0:3 ✺
15.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1 ✺
08.08.25	Unia Swarzędz - Luzino	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Kluczevia Stargard - Unia Swarzędz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLTT

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