Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 26

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Dietmar-Hopp Stadion (Sinsheim)

Referee: Westerhoff N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Norway	TV2 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
World	Onefootball


	TSG Hoffenheim		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.5	5
	1.5	4.25	4.75	Watch
	1.63	4.32	4.54
	1.51	4.65	5.16	Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.4
	1.58	4.24	4.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.46)	4.31 ↓ (4.72)	4.79 ↓ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

TSG Hoffenheim
59.6%

Draw
21.3%

RB Leipzig
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

19.7%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

18.9%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

TSG Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

RB Leipzig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TSG Hoffenheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

TSG Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dick L. (G) 9. Janssens J. 13. Douma W. 14. Doorn L. 5. Rankin J. 18. Ampoorter V. 6. Diehm V. (C) 19. Steiner M. 26. Grimm J. 25. Van Dijk N. 29. Cerci S.	28. von Schrader L. (G) 20. Krug V. (C) 3. Norheim A. 21. Landenberger J. 24. Dudek N. 13. Starke S. 16. Schasching A. 11. Baum L. 8. Asgeirsdottir E. 27. Muller M. 17. Boboy D.
Substitutes
30. Bitzer N. 3. Byrnak E. 24. Delacauw F. 20. Gloning L. 16. Grabowska D. 23. Hahn C. 17. Harsch F. 7. Luyet N. 27. Schmid J. (G)	10. Chmielinski G. 26. Graf L. 4. Grunenberg R. 1. Herzog E. (G) 6. Joly L. 5. Magerl J. 23. Spitzner K.
Coaches
Virsinger M.	Stephan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Van Dijk N. ↓, Hahn C. ↑,
57', Rankin J. ↓, Luyet N. ↑,
66', Starke S. 🟨,
73', Ampoorter V. ↓, Gloning L. ↑,
73', Grimm J. ↓, Harsch F. ↑,
79', Diehm V. 🟨,
79', Norheim A. ↓, Magerl J. ↑,
79', Muller M. ↓, Chmielinski G. ↑,
81', Steiner M. ↓, Delacauw F. ↑,
85', Harsch F. 🟨,
90+2', Krug V. ↓, Graf L. ↑,
90+3', Asgeirsdottir E. ↓, Spitzner K. ↑,
90+3', Starke S. ↓, Joly L. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 3.

Hoffenheim is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

RB Leipzig has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hoffenheim may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Hoffenheim is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	RB Leipzig W	6	2	1	3	10:9	1	7
11	Hoffenheim W	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim Women
German Bundesliga Women
10.05.26	Union Berlin - TSG Hoffenheim	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Bayern Munich - TSG Hoffenheim	1:1 ✺
27.04.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Köln	6:2 ✺
29.03.26	Freiburg - TSG Hoffenheim	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWWL
- RB Leipzig Women
German Bundesliga Women
11.05.26	RB Leipzig - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1:3 ✺
02.05.26	Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - RB Leipzig	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	RB Leipzig - Freiburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Women
14.12.25	RB Leipzig - TSG Hoffenheim	2:3
13.04.25	TSG Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	5:2
03.11.24	RB Leipzig - TSG Hoffenheim	3:1
10.05.24	RB Leipzig - TSG Hoffenheim	3:0
17.12.23	TSG Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	2:1
German DFB Pokal Women
26.11.23	TSG Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	3:0

TSG Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide