Match Info

ESTONIA: ESILIIGA - ROUND 23

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday


	Tabasalu		Nõmme United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.25	6.75	1.18
	8.5	6.25	1.21
	11.17	6.38	1.2
	9.9	7.2	1.18	Watch
	11	7	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.96 ↑ (4.91)	6.72 ↑ (5.11)	1.19 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
9.2%

Draw
13.6%

Nõmme United
77.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

17.6%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

17.5%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tabasalu's form might have worsened.

Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nõmme United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tabasalu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nõmme United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tabasalu - Nõmme United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Rumberg K. (C) 44. Annion F. 13. Subka M. 2. Makarov V. 12. Suppi S. 4. Kokla J. 6. Linde T. 14. Vaherna M. 17. Riigov R. 11. Luts J. 7. Poder J.	71. Purg G. (G) 3. Merilai S. 28. Salmistu S. 15. Bergman A. 4. Alteberg A. 30. Riisenberg M. 7. Svedovski A. 33. Demidov E. 18. Cham B. 9. Ounapuu E. 10. Leoke H. (C)
Substitutes
1. Kristel R. (G) 20. Kurm T. 8. Nahk A. 25. Raaper H. 3. Stuff K. 80. Taal J.	23. Laanelaid K. 1. Lagus G. (G) 2. Leppsalu K. 21. Musolitin O. 17. Sikk A. 77. Tsombaljuk S. 8. Valge A. 11. Vendelin T.

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Nõmme United is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tabasalu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Tabasalu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga
07.08.23	Viimsi JK - Tabasalu	1:0 ✺
22.07.23	Tabasalu - Alliance	7:4 ✺
18.07.23	FC Tallinn - Tabasalu	2:4 ✺
08.07.23	Tabasalu - Elva	4:0 ✺
02.07.23	Paide U21 - Tabasalu	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWWW
- Nõmme United
Estonian Esiliiga
05.08.23	Nõmme United - Levadia Tallinn U21	4:0 ✺
22.07.23	Flora U21 - Nõmme United	0:3 ✺
18.07.23	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Nõmme United	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Nõmme United - Paide U21	0:0 ✺
03.07.23	Viimsi JK - Nõmme United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
04.06.23	Nõmme United - Tabasalu	3:0
15.03.23	Tabasalu - Nõmme United	1:2

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