Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 16

Date: 18 June 2026, Thursday


	Tammeka U21		Tabasalu

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.80	4.20
	1.82	4.25	3.1
	1.75	4.54	3.14
	1.8	4.67	3.08
	1.85	4	3
	1.87	4.4	3.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.39)	4.44 ↓ (5.76)	3.26 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tammeka U21
51.6%

Draw
20.5%

Tabasalu
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

15.7%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

14.8%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tammeka U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tammeka U21's form might have worsened.

Tabasalu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tabasalu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka U21 than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tammeka U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tabasalu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tammeka U21 - Tabasalu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Esiliiga and 8 in the zone Esiliiga B (Relegation)).

Tammeka U21 has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tabasalu is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Tammeka U21 is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Tammeka U21 will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tammeka U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Including home match between the teams, Tammeka U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tammeka U21	30	15	4	11	74:60	14	49
8	Tabasalu	30	10	3	17	44:81	-37	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tammeka Tartu U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
14.06.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tammeka U21	2:4 ✺
01.06.26	Tammeka U21 - Pärnu Vaprus U21	3:2 ✺
28.05.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tammeka U21	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Tammeka U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Tartu Kalev - Tammeka U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWT
- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
13.06.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	5:0 ✺
27.05.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion	2:3 ✺
24.05.26	Viljandi Tulevik - Tabasalu	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Tabasalu - Levadia U19	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
15.03.26	Tammeka U21 - Tabasalu	4:3

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