Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 18

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Tallinna JK Legion		Tallinna Kalev U21

	1	X	2
	5.75	5.50	1.31
	6.3	5.9	1.28
	6.23	5.9	1.26
	6.65	6.85	1.26
	7.45	6.35	1.19
	6.24	6.24	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.44 ↑ (5.4)	6.12 ↑ (4.9)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna JK Legion
14%

Draw
14.8%

Tallinna Kalev U21
71.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

18.5%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

17.3%

60.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna JK Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Tallinna Kalev U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tallinna Kalev U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev U21 than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tallinna Kalev U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tallinna JK Legion - Tallinna Kalev U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Lasn O. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 0 - 2, ⚽,
25', 0 - 3, Seimoja T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 1 - 3, Kolodchuk M. ⚽,
81', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, Kalev U21 is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Legion won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:2. (average 3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Legion won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Tallinna Kalev U21	31	8	5	18	63:78	-15	29
10	Legion	31	3	3	25	26:116	-90	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga B
22.06.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Pärnu Vaprus U21	1:4 ✺
18.06.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tallinna JK Legion	6:1 ✺
01.06.26	Levadia U19 - Tallinna JK Legion	6:0 ✺
27.05.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion	2:3 ✺
24.05.26	Tallinna JK Legion - Tartu Kalev	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLLWL
- Tallinna Kalev U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
22.06.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Narva Trans U21	2:3 ✺
19.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus U21 - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:2 ✺
13.06.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:1 ✺
01.06.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tartu Kalev	7:2 ✺
28.05.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tammeka U21	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
14.09.19	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	0:1
26.07.19	Tallinna JK Legion - Tallinna Kalev U21	4:0
30.05.19	Tallinna JK Legion - Tallinna Kalev U21	2:0
08.04.19	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	2:5

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