Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 31

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Tabasalu		Tammeka U21

	1	X	2
	2.50	4.00	2.10
	2.7	4.05	1.98
	3.4	4.4	1.6
	3.49	5.3	1.62
	3.4	5	1.58
	3.5	5.15	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.23)	4.65 ↑ (3.85)	1.76 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tabasalu
28.7%

Draw
19.5%

Tammeka U21
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

23.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

21.7%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tabasalu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tabasalu's form might have worsened.

Tammeka U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tammeka U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tabasalu than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tabasalu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka U21 than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tammeka U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Riigov R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, Kiidron K. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Viinapuu A. ⚽,
76', Sahtel K. 🟥,

Preview

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tammeka U21 holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Tabasalu has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:7 (averaging 3:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tabasalu against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tammeka U21	31	16	4	11	76:61	15	52
8	Tabasalu	31	10	3	18	45:83	-38	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tabasalu
Estonian Esiliiga B
19.09.26	Jõhvi Phoenix - Tabasalu	3:2 ✺
14.09.26	Tabasalu - Tallinna JK Legion	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Tallinna Kalev U21 - Tabasalu	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Tabasalu - Tammeka U21	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tabasalu	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LTLWL
- JK Tammeka Tartu U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
21.09.26	Levadia U19 - Tammeka U21	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Narva Trans U21 - Tammeka U21	1:0 ✺
10.09.26	Tammeka U21 - Viljandi Tulevik	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Tabasalu - Tammeka U21	3:2 ✺
31.08.26	Tammeka U21 - Levadia U19	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
05.09.26	Tabasalu - Tammeka U21	3:2
18.06.26	Tammeka U21 - Tabasalu	1:3
15.03.26	Tammeka U21 - Tabasalu	4:3

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