Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 9

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	Tacuarembó		Cerrito

	1	X	2
	2.50	2.95	2.60
	2.43	2.90	2.80
	2.62	3.05	2.76
	2.59	3.06	2.8	Watch
	2.60	2.90	2.75
	2.59	3.21	2.69	Watch
	2.50	2.85	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.28)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)	2.73 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuarembó
35.9%

Draw
30.6%

Cerrito
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

31%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

32.2%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Cerrito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tacuarembó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrito than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerrito, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Tacuarembó - Cerrito Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tacuarembó will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cerrito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tacuarembó won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tacuarembó won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Cerrito	21	7	8	6	27:24	3	29
13	Tacuarembo	21	6	6	9	16:23	-7	24

Last Results with these Odds

Tacuarembó - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 39.47%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Cerrito - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 29.5%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.06.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Tacuarembó - Paysandú	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Tacuarembó	2:1 ✺
07.06.26	Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Oriental de La Paz - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLWL
- CS Cerrito
Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.06.26	Cerrito - Plaza Colonia	1:0 ✺
21.06.26	La Luz - Cerrito	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	River Plate Montevideo - Cerrito	6:4 ✺
07.06.26	Cerrito - Atenas de San Carlos	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Paysandú - Cerrito	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.03.26	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	1:1
24.08.25	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	1:1
03.06.25	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	2:0
16.11.24	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	3:1
27.07.24	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	0:2
26.11.23	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	0:1
15.07.23	Cerrito - Tacuarembó	2:1

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