The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tacuarembó 24.7%
Draw 27.4%
Progreso 47.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.6%
27.6%
47.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.4%
26.3%
50.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Recent matches Tacuarembó is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Progreso is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Progreso will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Tacuarembó won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.