Match Info

Date: 24 November 2020, Tuesday


	Tacuarembó		Rocha

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.85	3.4
	2.2	2.9	3.25
	2.17	2.8	3.4
	2.24	2.94	3.64
	2.25	2.7	3.4
	2.23	2.93	3.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.55)	2.85 ↑ (2.76)	3.41 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuarembó
41.3%

Draw
31.9%

Rocha
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

32.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

24.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuarembó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tacuarembó's performance.

Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rocha might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tacuarembó that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rocha than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rocha could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tacuarembó - Rocha Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 9 and 11).

The competitors look crappy now.

Tacuarembó could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tacuarembó will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tacuarembó won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.11.20	Albion Montevideo - Tacuarembó	2:1 ✺
17.11.20	Sud América - Tacuarembó	1:2 ✺
10.11.20	Tacuarembó - Cerrito	1:1 ✺
02.11.20	Racing Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:0 ✺
30.10.20	Tacuarembó - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWTLL
- Rocha FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
20.11.20	Rocha - Cerrito	1:2 ✺
16.11.20	Racing Montevideo - Rocha	1:0 ✺
03.11.20	Villa Teresa - Rocha	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Rocha - Rampla Juniors	1:0 ✺
26.10.20	Central Español - Rocha	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.09.20	Rocha - Tacuarembó	0:2

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