Match Info

Date: 2 November 2020, Monday


	Racing Montevideo		Tacuarembó

	1	X	2
	1.87	2.95	4.25
	1.78	3.05	4.6
	1.8	2.85	4.9
	1.85	2.91	5.05
	1.78	3	4.8
	1.84	3.22	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.66)	3 ↑ (2.98)	4.65 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Montevideo
50%

Draw
30.4%

Tacuarembó
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

30.9%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

21.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing Montevideo's performance.

Tacuarembó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tacuarembó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Montevideo than the current prediction. (-25.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing Montevideo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacuarembó than the current prediction. (+29.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tacuarembó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	16%	12%

Racing Montevideo - Tacuarembó Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Tacuarembó will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Racing is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tacuarembó is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Racing is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Racing won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.10.20	Cerrito - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.10.20	Sud América - Racing Montevideo	1:1 ✺
19.10.20	Racing Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
12.10.20	Villa Teresa - Racing Montevideo	0:2 ✺
09.10.20	Racing Montevideo - Rampla Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTTWT
- Tacuarembó FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.10.20	Tacuarembó - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
27.10.20	Villa Teresa - Tacuarembó	2:1 ✺
20.10.20	Tacuarembó - Rampla Juniors	0:2 ✺
12.10.20	Central Español - Tacuarembó	0:1 ✺
09.10.20	Tacuarembó - Atenas de San Carlos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.09.20	Tacuarembó - Racing Montevideo	0:0
Uruguayan Primera Division
29.03.15	Tacuarembó - Racing Montevideo	1:0
21.09.14	Racing Montevideo - Tacuarembó	1:0

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