Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 28

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)


	Tacuary		Paraguarí

	1	X	2
	2.70	3.10	2.30
	2.75	3.05	2.32
	2.78	3.2	2.38
	2.85	3.23	2.45	Watch
	2.7	2.85	2.3
	2.83	3.02	2.36	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.92)	3.08 ↓ (3.45)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tacuary
32.5%

Draw
29.2%

Paraguarí
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

26.9%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

25.7%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tacuary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Paraguarí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tacuary than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paraguarí than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Tacuary - Paraguarí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Ayala J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
52', 0 - 2, Escobar R. ⚽,
78', Gonzalez R. 🟥,
79', 0 - 3, Velazco Ramirez V. G. ⚽,
84', 1 - 3, Garcete M. (Own goal),
89', 1 - 4, Velazco Ramirez V. G. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 4, Bareiro N. ⚽,

Preview

A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th and 8th).

Tacuary has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Paraguarí shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Tacuary has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Paraguari AC	28	12	5	11	40:37	3	41
15	Tacuary	28	4	12	12	32:47	-15	24

Last Results with these Odds

Tacuary - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.81%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tacuary
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.10.26	Atlético Tembetary - Tacuary	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	Tacuary - Benjamín Aceval	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Sportivo Carapeguá - Tacuary	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Tacuary - 12 de Junio	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Encarnación - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWTLT
- Paraguarí AC
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.10.26	Paraguarí - 3 de Noviembre	1:0 ✺
28.09.26	Atlético Tembetary - Paraguarí	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Paraguarí - General Caballero JLM	3:2 ✺
14.09.26	Benjamín Aceval - Paraguarí	1:3 ✺
08.09.26	Paraguarí - Guaireña	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
03.07.26	Paraguarí - Tacuary	0:1

Tacuary - Paraguarí: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide