Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 26

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday


	Taffs Well AFC		Newport City

	1	X	2
	4.8	4.2	1.53
	5.07	4.27	1.52
	5.18	4.28	1.57	Watch
	5.18	4.04	1.59
	4.8	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (3.82)	4.2 ↑ (3.75)	1.55 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taffs Well AFC
18.4%

Draw
22%

Newport City
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.2%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.6%

24%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taffs Well AFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taffs Well AFC's form might have worsened.

Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newport City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taffs Well AFC than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taffs Well AFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newport City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Taffs Well AFC - Newport City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+8', 0 - 1, Thompson M. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Taffs Well has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Newport City is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newport City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Newport City is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Taffs Well won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taffs Well AFC
Welsh Cymru South
28.02.25	Caerau Ely - Taffs Well AFC	3:1 ✺
21.02.25	Taffs Well AFC - Carmarthen Town	3:7 ✺
15.02.25	Cwmbran Celtic - Taffs Well AFC	2:2 ✺
07.02.25	Goytre United - Taffs Well AFC	2:0 ✺
24.01.25	Taffs Well AFC - Cambrian United	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTLL
- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
01.03.25	Ammanford - Newport City	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Cambrian United - Newport City	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Newport City - Llanelli	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Newport City - Afan Lido	5:1 ✺
10.01.25	Pontypridd United - Newport City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
22.11.24	Newport City - Taffs Well AFC	2:2

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