Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 22

Date: 24 January 2025, Friday


	Newport City		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	3.82	3.88	1.7
	4.12	4.17	1.72	Watch
	4.21	3.94	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↑ (3.9)	4 ↓ (4.11)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newport City
22.7%

Draw
23%

Llanelli
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

22.5%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

22.1%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Llanelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Newport City - Llanelli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
44', 0 - 1, Eason L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', 0 - 2, Eason L. ⚽,
89', 1 - 2, Graham J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2).

Newport City is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Llanelli in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Llanelli is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Newport City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
17.01.25	Newport City - Afan Lido	5:1 ✺
10.01.25	Pontypridd United - Newport City	0:2 ✺
03.01.25	Newport City - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:2 ✺
28.12.24	Cwmbran Celtic - Newport City	0:1 ✺
20.12.24	Newport City - Caerau Ely	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWLWW
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
17.01.25	Llanelli - Llantwit Major	2:0 ✺
10.01.25	Afan Lido - Llanelli	0:1 ✺
30.12.24	Llanelli - Baglan Dragons	2:0 ✺
26.12.24	Ammanford - Llanelli	0:2 ✺
20.12.24	Llanelli - Cambrian United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
04.10.24	Llanelli - Newport City	2:3

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