Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 13

Date: 11 December 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Talanta		Mara Sugar

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.15	2.55
	2.78	3.1	2.42
	2.8	3.07	2.47	Watch
	2.37	3.2	2.6
	2.74	3.02	2.42
	2.6	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.45)	3.12 ↑ (3.09)	2.5 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talanta
34.4%

Draw
29.2%

Mara Sugar
36.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37%

29.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

28.4%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talanta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Talanta - Mara Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 7).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Talanta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Talanta
Kenyan Premier League
08.12.24	Shabana - Talanta	2:1 ✺
04.12.24	Talanta - Gor Mahia	2:3 ✺
30.11.24	Talanta - Posta Rangers	0:0 ✺
27.11.24	Talanta - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
22.11.24	Kenya CB - Talanta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLTWL
- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
07.12.24	Police FC - Mara Sugar	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Mara Sugar - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	Tusker - Mara Sugar	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Mara Sugar - Sofapaka	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	AFC Leopards - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLTT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
28.10.26	Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards	✺

Talanta - Mara Sugar