Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio La Fuensanta (Cuenca)


	Conquense		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	4	2.9	2.15
	3.6	3.1	2.15
	3.75	3	2.1
	4.05	2.92	2.13
	4.01	2.82	2.06	Watch
	3.8	2.88	2.05	Watch
	4.03	2.95	2.15
	3.75	3	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.43)	2.95 ↓ (3.07)	2.11 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Conquense
24.1%

Draw
31.7%

Ibiza
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

30.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

29.7%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Conquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Conquense than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Conquense - Ibiza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bernabeu R. (G) 24. Sina B. 17. Etxebe 5. Titi Romero 16. Ingles P. 14. Yoshimura Y. 21. Castillo Ortega L. 6. Alvarez J. 8. Olivares P. 7. Monterde J. 9. Carcaba J.	13. Belman (G) 4. Monjonell E. 11. Astals D. 23. Escassi A. 2. Matos J. 10. Gallar A. 8. Tienza F. (C) 14. Domenech M. 15. Kourouma L. 9. Ferrer P. 19. Naranjo J.
Substitutes
23. Amoud K. 20. Caballero R. 19. Fernandez A. 13. Hormiga Vera A. (G) 11. Jesusete 27. Mendoza P. 4. Recuenco M. 3. Rodriguez S. 10. Rubio H.	6. Alvarez J. 21. Eugeni 20. Indias I. 5. Jimenez J. 1. Juan Ramirez R. (G) 18. Molina A. 16. Olabe R. . Pugliese P. 7. Quique 28. Vivares O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Castillo Ortega L. ↓, Caballero R. ↑,
62', Monterde J. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Caballero R. ⚽,
74', Carcaba J. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
74', Tienza F. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
75', Kourouma L. ↓, Quique ↑,
75', Ferrer P. ↓, Eugeni ↑,
78', Matos J. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
85', Yoshimura Y. ↓, Mendoza P. ↑,
90+3', Naranjo J. 🟨,

Preview

Conquense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ibiza is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ibiza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ibiza will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UB Conquense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.10.24	Conquense - Atlético Paso	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Conquense - Móstoles URJC	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Getafe B - Conquense	4:1 ✺
29.09.24	Conquense - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLW
- UD Ibiza
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
25.10.24	Fuenlabrada - Ibiza	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Intercity - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
12.10.24	Ibiza - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
06.10.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Ibiza	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Ibiza - Alcoyano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTTW

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