Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 34

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Talavera de la Reina		Móstoles URJC

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.75	8.5
	1.24	5.5	9
	1.24	5.4	9.2
	1.24	5.99	7.6
	1.26	5.98	7.78	Watch
	1.21	5.8	12
	1.24	5.4	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.4)	5.55 ↑ (3.8)	9.04 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
73.4%

Draw
16.5%

Móstoles URJC
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

23.7%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

23.2%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.

Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talavera de la Reina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Talavera de la Reina - Móstoles URJC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.75 - Talavera (1.92) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Talavera (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+4', 1 - 0, Sanchez A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Talavera is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

Móstoles is Relegated to

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Talavera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Talavera is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Talavera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.04.25	Getafe B - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Talavera de la Reina - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Coria - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Talavera de la Reina - Illescas	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Conquense - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTTL
- CD Móstoles URJC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.04.25	Móstoles URJC - CD Guadalajara	4:2 ✺
19.04.25	Melilla - Móstoles URJC	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Móstoles URJC - Atlético Paso	4:1 ✺
05.04.25	Colonia Moscardó - Móstoles URJC	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Tenerife B - Móstoles URJC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.12.24	Móstoles URJC - Talavera de la Reina	2:3

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