Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	UD San Fernando		Numancia

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.93
	3.75	3.3	1.95	Watch
	3.71	3.37	2.04
	3.71	3.37	1.98
	3.62	3.22	1.94
	3.55	3.2	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.6)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	1.97 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD San Fernando
25.3%

Draw
28%

Numancia
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

28.2%

46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

28.5%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD San Fernando has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Numancia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD San Fernando than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

UD San Fernando - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Numancia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Numancia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD San Fernando
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Illescas - UD San Fernando	6:0 ✺
19.11.23	UD San Fernando - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Llerenense - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	UD San Fernando - Montijo	0:2 ✺
29.10.23	Gimnástica Segoviana - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLLL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.11.23	Numancia - CD Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Unión Adarve - Numancia	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Numancia - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Mensajero - Numancia	2:3 ✺
29.10.23	Numancia - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTTWT

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