Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 15

Date: 10 December 2023, Sunday


	Numancia		Ursaria

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.4	4.6
	1.68	3.5	5	Watch
	1.74	3.8	5.11
	1.75	3.3	5.11
	1.7	3.4	4.55
	1.65	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.78)	3.48 ↑ (3.13)	4.88 ↑ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
54.5%

Draw
26.5%

Ursaria
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

29.3%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

29.5%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Ursaria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ursaria than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Numancia - Ursaria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	UD San Fernando - Numancia	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Numancia - CD Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
19.11.23	Unión Adarve - Numancia	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Numancia - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
05.11.23	Mensajero - Numancia	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTTW
- CDE Ursaria
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
03.12.23	Ursaria - Illescas	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Atlético Paso - Ursaria	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Ursaria - Llerenense	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Montijo - Ursaria	0:2 ✺
05.11.23	Ursaria - Gimnástica Segoviana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWW

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