Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 38

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Talleres de Remedios de Escalada (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Pafundi J. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play


	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	X	2
	3	2.75	2.63	Watch
	2.95	2.9	2.4
	2.9	3	2.5	Watch
	2.94	3.07	2.54
	2.96	3	2.54	Watch
	2.9	3	2.4
	2.93	3	2.45
	2.9	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.79)	2.97 ↑ (2.84)	2.5 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talleres de Remedios de Escalada
31.6%

Draw
31.3%

Ferro Carril Oeste
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

32.8%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

33.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talleres de Remedios de Escalada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talleres de Remedios de Escalada than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	75%	12.5%

Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Talleres Escalada will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tello D. (G) 11. Asprea T. 8. Dure F. 10. Enrique F. 6. Malvacio N. 9. Molina N. 2. Monserrat N. 7. Nakache D. 5. Palmieri N. 3. Romero P. 4. Sanchez L.	1. Monllor M. (G) 2. Arena N. 10. Blanco R. 6. Boolsen P. 8. Fernandez Pinto J. 11. Gallardo D. 5. Gomez N. 9. Levato M. 4. Lorenzo A. 7. Retamar K. 3. Rodriguez M.
Substitutes
17. Benitez A. 12. Casoli M. (G) 18. Denis J. 19. Donato M. 14. Gallardo S. 15. Lucena R. 16. Nelle S. 20. Rivero G. 13. Salmanton A. A.	20. Benegas M. D. 15. Caceres F. 14. Mercado Carrizo D. A. 13. Monserrat R. E. 17. Mosca C. 16. Mussis F. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 19. Sosa A. 18. Tomasetti G.
Coaches
Gomez M.	Biggeri A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Fernandez Pinto J. 🟨,
37', Palmieri N. 🟥,
43', Boolsen P. 🟨,
45', Monllor M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Fernandez Pinto J. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
69', Molina N. ↓, Rivero G. ↑,
69', Nakache D. ↓, Gallardo S. ↑,
69', Rodriguez M. ↓, Caceres F. ↑,
75', Gomez N. 🟨,
80', Asprea T. ↓, Nelle S. ↑,
80', Enrique F. ↓, Benitez A. ↑,
82', Gomez N. ↓, Tomasetti G. ↑,
82', Gallardo D. ↓, Benegas M. D. ↑,
90+2', Benitez A. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Talleres Escalada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ferro Carril will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Talleres Escalada won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Talleres de Remedios de Escalada
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.10.24	Deportivo Maipú - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Gimnasia Jujuy	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Güemes - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Alvarado	0:2 ✺
23.09.24	Racing de Córdoba - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLLT
- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.10.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Quilmes	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	San Miguel - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
07.10.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Nueva Chicago	1:2 ✺
30.09.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Maipú	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.06.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:1

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