Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 21

Date: 1 July 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio de Talleres de Remedios de Escalada (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Loustau J. P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports 2, TyC Sports Play


	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada		Quilmes

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.88	3.7
	2.25	2.85	3.25
	2.35	2.85	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.12	3.62
	2.28	3.01	3.41
	2.3	2.9	3.2
	2.29	2.95	3.31	Watch
	2.28	2.85	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.78)	2.93 ↑ (2.69)	3.39 ↑ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talleres de Remedios de Escalada
40.8%

Draw
31.8%

Quilmes
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

34.8%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

35.8%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talleres de Remedios de Escalada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talleres de Remedios de Escalada's performance.

Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talleres de Remedios de Escalada than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Talleres de Remedios de Escalada that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Quilmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Talleres Escalada will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Talleres Escalada: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tello D. (G)	1. Glellel E. (G) 4. Adin D. 2. Tevez F. 6. Moya S. 3. Ferreira M. 8. Enrique M. 5. Ramirez I. (C) 11. Luna R. 7. Parisi L. 9. Bordagaray F. 10. Gonzalez T.
Coaches
Rolon M.	Franco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Rolon M. 🟨,
45+2', Gallardo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Campuzano C. ↓, Donato M. ↑,
65', Benega S. ↓, Nakache D. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Malvacio N. ⚽,
72', Ferreira M. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
72', Bordagaray F. ↓, Alfonso L. ↑,
79', Guzman D. ↓, Nelle S. ↑,
83', Romero P. 🟨,
86', Enrique M. ↓, Puzzo S. ↑,
86', Luna R. ↓, Batista A. ↑,
86', Parisi L. ↓, Capano J. ↑,
90', Asprea T. ↓, Ciavarelli I. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Talleres Escalada is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Quilmes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Talleres Escalada won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Talleres de Remedios de Escalada
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.06.24	San Miguel - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:0 ✺
09.06.24	Ferro Carril Oeste - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:1 ✺
01.06.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Deportivo Maipú	2:3 ✺
26.05.24	Gimnasia Jujuy - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:1 ✺
18.05.24	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Güemes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TWLLT
- Quilmes AC
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.06.24	Temperley - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
08.06.24	San Miguel - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Quilmes - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:4 ✺
26.05.24	Deportivo Maipú - Quilmes	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Quilmes - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
10.02.24	Quilmes - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:0

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