Match Info

Esiliiga B - Round 27

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Sportland Arena (Tallinn)


	Tallinna JK Legion		Nõmme United U21

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.75	2.3
	2.64	4.08	2.16	Watch
	2.36	3.92	2.32
	1.92	3.25	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.97)	3.75 ↓ (3.8)	2.29 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tallinna JK Legion
38%

Draw
23.5%

Nõmme United U21
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

24%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5%

24.2%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tallinna JK Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tallinna JK Legion's form might have worsened.

Nõmme United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nõmme United U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tallinna JK Legion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United U21 than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nõmme United U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme United U21 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme United U21 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Suhotski A. (G) 7. Blinov A. 44. Borissov A. 4. Havier M. 10. Jakovenko A. 37. Kolodchuk M. 5. Maearu S. 35. Panov V. 13. Pochekutov V. 16. Samborskyi D. 19. Zutsenja E.	91. Ortega R. (G) 16. Gusarov A. 25. Kabal G. 7. Kais J. 45. Leppik R. 23. Marmei M. 58. Medvedev A. 42. Palu R. 32. Piht K. 77. Tomingas K. 17. Zilmer K.
Substitutes
8. Klimakov J. M. 20. Malosev M. 1. Prasol A. (G) 15. Sedjakin P. 18. Slavgorodski M. 9. Vassiljev A. 30. Volodin A.	31. Kaspar A. 26. Kranberg R. 10. Krasnov I. 88. Manniste M. 12. MIhelson S. 20. Polda P. (G) 18. Saarnak J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
41', 🟨,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
55', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
58', 1 - 0, Jakovenko A. ⚽,
60', 1 - 1, Leppik R. ⚽,
66', 🟥,
82', 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Legion has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Nõmme United U21 has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Legion may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Legion is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Legion won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Legion won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tallinna JK Legion
Estonian Esiliiga B
07.09.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Maardu Linnameeskond - Tallinna JK Legion	6:0 ✺
23.08.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Jõhvi Phoenix	2:3 ✺
16.08.25	Narva Trans U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	5:1 ✺
10.08.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Paide U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLLW
- Nõmme United U21
Estonian Esiliiga B
30.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tabasalu	6:0 ✺
24.08.25	Paide U21 - Nõmme United U21	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Läänemaa Haapsalu	4:2 ✺
10.08.25	Nõmme United U21 - Kuressaare U21	0:3 ✺
04.08.25	Jõhvi Phoenix - Nõmme United U21	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga B
14.06.25	Nõmme United U21 - Tallinna JK Legion	1:2
27.02.25	Tallinna JK Legion - Nõmme United U21	2:2

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