The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tallinna JK Legion 16.8%
Draw 15.5%
Viljandi Tulevik 67.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.4%
20.4%
58.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.7%
19.7%
60.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tallinna JK Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Viljandi Tulevik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viljandi Tulevik's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna JK Legion than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viljandi Tulevik than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viljandi Tulevik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
22', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Legion won 2.
Legion has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Tulevik have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tulevik carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Legion has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:18 (averaging 0.9:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Legion against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 8:8 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Watch
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